The FPL Gameweek 6 Snapshot!

Hello all! After another weekend of scintillating football, we are straight back into another one. My team scored 86 points after bringing in Kane (C), Salah and Bissouma for a -4. The “Using FPL Points as a Metric” team my wife runs scored 76 points on its Wildcard, so it’s been a good week!

As always, stats are courtesy of both Fantasy Football Hub and Fantasy Football Scout and the article focuses on:

  • Positional matchups, such as the wingers vs the fullbacks for FPL relevant players.
  • Fantasy Points Against and Player Form
  • Key stats, such as Shots, xG, xGC, Big Chances created by teams/conceded by teams
  • Saves, shots faced etc

Let’s dive in…

Aston Villa vs Leeds

Goalkeepers:

In 4 games, Emi Martinez (£4.8m) has saved 14 of the 17 shots on target he’s faced. He’s the top scoring goalkeeper with 31 points. This week he faces a well drilled Leeds side, who, with 45 shots in the box, are only behind Spurs, West Ham and Liverpool for that metric. Illan Meslier (£4.5m) has saved 13 of the 21 shots on target he’s faced, and he’s coming up against a confident Aston Villa side who are unbeaten in their first 4 games. Only Everton, Liverpool and Spurs have had more Big Chances than them, and I’m looking forward to an entertaining game.

Defenders:

The Aston Villa backline are now attracting attention, and for good reason. In 4 games, the only 2 goals they’ve conceded have been to Liverpool. Of the 4, I think I would plump for Matt Targett (£4.5m) or Ezri Konsa (£4.6m). This is purely a price point thing, as I prefer sub £5m defenders for the most part. Konsa, at £0.5m cheaper than Tyrone Mings (£5.1m) offers similar goal threat. Matty Cash (£5m) has played more key passes than Targett, but Targett started to show glimpses of attacking threat against Leicester. Cash and Targett (sounds like an ‘80s Cop Duo) come up against Luke Ayling (£4.5m) and Stuart Dallas (£4.5m) this week. Of the 2 matchups, I am most intrigued by Ayling vs Targett. Both of these guys like to play high up, with their average positions being around the halfway line. Only Burnley and Palace have conceded more chances down their left flank than Villa in the last 4 gameweeks. Villa are only behind West Ham, Spurs, Man United and Burnley for chances created on that flank, so Ayling could find some joy in the space behind. Only Newcastle have conceded more chances centrally than Leeds, so their centre backs will need to be on high alert to deal with Grealish and co.

Midfielders:

Ross Barkley (£5.9m) has made a great start to his time with Villa. 2 goals and 3 bonus points since he joined, he’s also joint top for shots with Jack Grealish (£7.2m) of the Villa midfielders with 9 shots so far. Barkley has had 1 more shots on target, but Grealish is well ahead in terms of creativity, with 14 key passes and 3 big chances created. In fact only Salah, Son and James Rodríguez have played more key passes than Grealish of all midfielders. Both of these are good options coming up against a Leeds side who have conceded the 2nd most shots overall and most shots in the box overall. As a slightly more budget option, I like John McGinn (£5.5m). Of all £5.5m midfielders, McGinn is top for assists (4), key passes (10) and big chances created (3). If you can’t stretch to Barkley, he’s a good option. If you’re looking at Leeds midfielders, I think the best option is Helder Costa (£5.7m). 6 shots, all the in box, with 3 on target. Against Wolves, only Bamford’s average position was further forward than Costa. However, with other options at this price point, you’d be forgiven for looking elsewhere.

Forwards:

After a blistering performance against Liverpool, Ollie Watkins (£6m) had a quiet game against Leicester. As most of the chances that Leeds concede are centrally, he’ll hope for a more successful day. Both Patrick Bamford (£5.8m) and Rodrigo (£5.8m) started against Wolves and they both registered 3 shots in the box, with 1 on target. At £5.8 and under, Bamford leads the way for all shots metrics, but with a stingy Villa defence ahead of him, he might have a tough day at the office.

Source: Telegraph.co.uk

West Ham vs Man City

Goalkeepers:

Lukasz Fabianski (£5m) conceded 3 against Spurs in the opening 16 minutes, in what was a nightmare start for The Hammers. He did save the other 3 shots on target though, taking his total to 7 saves from 13 shots on target. I’d imagine he faces another difficult this week when Man City come to town. 5th for shots overall despite playing a game less, and with Sergio Aguero back and in the starting 11 against Arsenal, you’d bet on City improving further. Ederson (£6m) saved all 3 shots on target he faced, as City kept their first clean sheet of the season, to get him 7 points. West Ham have been pretty good going forward this season so far, and are 2nd only to Liverpool for shots in the box. It will be interesting to see how they get on against City this week.

Defenders:

The first player I’ll mention here is Joao Cancelo (£5.4m). Back from injury, he played 3 key passes and took up a rather unorthodox position against Arsenal, with his average position just behind Riyad Mahrez! This is one to keep an eye on, as if he starts to become nailed and playing OOP, he could be a lovely option at that price. Aymeric Laporte (£6m) is likely out for this game and he’s a big loss for City, as he automatically improves City’s chances of a clean sheet. In 60 appearances for City in the league, they have kept 25 clean sheets with Laporte playing. Ruben Dias (£5.5m) has also provided some stability at the back since joining, and you’ve got to think that him and Laporte are the first choice pairing at centre back. Nathan Ake (£5.5m) played at left back against Arsenal and could play there again if Benjamin Mendy (£6m) is still injured. Assuming Kyle Walker (£6m) retains his place at right back, him and Ake will come up against Vladimir Coufal (£4.5m) and Aaron Cresswell (£5m). We’d be naive to omit Arthur Masuaku (£4.5m) from this conversation as well, as he is playing further forward as an OOP winger. Having spoken to one of our resident West Ham Fans, @FPL_Irons, he favours Cresswell for the extra £0.5m. Cresswell is on set pieces and is one of the better crossers of the ball in the league. Looking at chance creation, City concede most of their chances down the left flank, and The Hammers concede most of their chances down the right flank! So depending on who starts at left back for City will depend on how much action we see on that side. Looking at the stats, West Ham have still conceded the least shots on target this season, with 13, and 2nd least shots in the box with 15. Much like the Spurs game, this will be put to the test this weekend. Going forward West Ham look good as mentioned above, so I’m excited to see what happens in this one.

Cancelo was playing really high up vs Arsenal – certainly one to keep an eye on.

Midfielders:

Kevin De Bruyne (£11.5m) was pictured in training this week, so should at least be fit for the bench. From here, we turn our attention to the likes of Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Riyad Mahrez (£8.5m) and Phil Foden (£6.6m). Sterling is in pretty good form with 2 goals and an assist in the opening 4 games. Seeing Aguero back could mean that Sterling reverts to the left hand side, where Son just scored 13 FPL points against The Hammers. As mentioned above, West Ham concede most of their chances down their right flank, so this position is key. If you look at the above average position map, we see that Sterling was a bit more central, with Foden on that left hand side. I feel like they are both good options this week. Mahrez also looks as explosive as ever with his shoot on site policy. 11 shots, 5 in the box, 3 on target and if he can nail down that spot on the wing, he suddenly becomes insane value at that price. Tomas Soucek (£4.9m) is still good value in my eyes, with another 2 shots (1 in the box, 1 on target) on the weekend. Of all midfielders £7m and under, he is 2nd for both shots and shots in the box. Jarrod Bowen (£6.3m) is also good value at his price point and is mainly the 2nd most advanced player for West Ham behind Antonio. 3 games in 5 games for midfielders £6.3m and under is joint top with Jorginho, who has scored all of his goals from penalties. Pablo Fornals (£6.4m) missed an open goal against Spurs and of his 3 big chances only has 1 goal. Of the 2, I’d be inclined to go with Bowen over Fornals.

Forwards:

Sergio Aguero (£10.4m) is back!!!! If he can avoid injury and get back the fitness and sharpness we know he has, he’s a real asset going forward. Only 1 shot against Arsenal, that was in the box, he was more a creator, with 3 key passes and 2 big chances created. I’d expect to see him lead the line again against West Ham, and he could give them a torrid time. Michail Antonio (£6.3m) was taken off as a precaution but should be fit to play against City. At £6.3m and under, he is 2nd for shots and 2nd for shots in the box behind Mitrovic. He is joint top for shots on target. 2 shots in the box and 2 key passes against Spurs, I think he could be a real bargain this season, and depending on the City backline we see this week, could even get a goal here.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Goalkeepers:

Alphonse Areola (£4.5m) has now picked up a save point in each of the last 2 games, and against Sheffield United (SHU) he saved 5 of the 6 shots on target he faced. At that price point however, I still don’t necessarily think he’s the best option. Saying that, Palace have had a league low 32 shots and a league low 10 shots on target. In fact, only West Brom are below them for shots in the box as well, so if ever Fulham are going to keep a clean sheet, it’s this week. One thing we need to consider though is that only West Brom and Newcastle have conceded more shots on target than Fulham. In GW5, only Everton and Newcastle conceded more shots on target than Fulham and that was against SHU who have only scored 2 goals all season! Vicente Guaita (£5m) has saved 15 of the 23 shots on target faced and 2 of the 3 on target he faced against Brighton. Only 6 teams have had less shots on target than Fulham, and we know that Palace try and play in a defence first manner. However, only 5 teams have conceded more shots on target than Palace. 

Defenders:

In addition to my FPL team, I help my wife run her team, and we use FPL points as a metric to aid in her transfer decisions. Fulham were coming up against 3 of the top 5 teams for conceding FPL points to Defenders. This led us to insert Joe Bryan (£4.9m) as Fulham’s most attacking defender (and the one that had played the most minutes) on the off chance that if they are going to keep clean sheets, it would be in the next 3-4 games. Bryan didn’t play. Unbelievable. In general, I don’t think many people will be targeting Fulham defenders, so I won’t go into any detail here. We could see the return of Patrick van Aanholt (£5.4m) after he was named on the bench against Brighton. This could mean the end of the road for Tyrick Mitchell (£4.2m) so definitely one to keep an eye on. Palace have conceded a league leading 22 chances down their left flank, so whoever plays at right back for Fulham this week could find some joy. Fulham have conceded 17 chances down their left flank and 12 on their right flank. Joel Ward (£4.5m) isn’t overly attacking, however.

Midfielders: 

The only Fulham midfielder I’ll mention here is Ademola Lookman (£5m). After a 23-minute cameo against Wolves, he looked impressive against SHU with 3 shots, 2 in the box, 2 on target and 1 of those being a super goal. He also created a big chance. One to keep an eye on. Wilfried Zaha (£7.2m) has 4 goals this season, but 2 of them were penalties. As mentioned earlier, Palace have had a league low 32 shots, and are also bottom for shots on target with 10. A game against Fulham could be a prime spot for Zaha and Andros Townsend (£6.1m) provided they can create some chances. As mentioned above, Fulham concede most of their chances on their left flank, where Townsend will be operating. Fulham have conceded the most FPL points to Midfielders so far this season, so Palace might find some joy.

Forwards:

Aleksandar Mitrovic (£5.9m) missed a penalty and gave one away for good measure in GW5. 2 goals in 5 games is a bit underwhelming for Fulham’s talisman and as I write, he’s seen 12000 FPL managers sell him. He’s still 2nd for shots by Forwards with 21, but only 8 have been on target. He has had the most headed chances of all Forwards with 11, and Palace have conceded 15 headed attempts so far. Only SHU have conceded more with 20. Jordan Ayew (£5.8m) was ruled out last week after contracting Coronavirus. If he remains out, Michy Batshuayi (£5.8m) will lead the line again. He got the assist for the penalty against Brighton but didn’t register any shots. He’ll hope to have better fortunes against Fulham this week!

Man United vs Chelsea

Goalkeepers:

David de Gea (£5.5m) has saved 11 of the 22 shots on target he’s faced now, conceding an unfortunate own goal against Newcastle. Only Crystal Palace have had less shots on target than Newcastle however, so Chelsea, who are ranked 3rd in this metric with 29 (only behind Liverpool and Spurs), will likely offer a sterner test! It’s also worth noting that only Newcastle, West Brom and Fulham have conceded more shots on target than United since GW2. Chelsea welcomed back Edouard Mendy (£5m) from injury for their 0-0 draw with Sevilla in the Champions League. That’s his 2nd clean sheet in 3 games for Chelsea and it’s clear he’s a vast improvement over Kepa (£4.8m). United are 6th for both shots and shots on target since they started their campaign in GW2, so maybe this week will be the week we see how Mendy does under pressure.

Defenders:

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) was much improved against Newcastle and even got on the scoresheet. Would I consider him for my FPL team yet? No. Let’s see if United can stop shipping goals first. Of course the own goal was unfortunate, but United have conceded the most big chances with 15, despite only playing 4 games. Axel Tuanzebe (£4.5m) played well in the midweek victory over PSG, and may force his way into that back line. United played with 3 centre backs here with Alex Telles (£5.5m) and Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.4m) operating as wingbacks. If this is something that sticks and United start looking more secure at the back, I’d consider Tuanzebe. Both AWB and Telles are also ones to keep an eye on. This week they likely come up against Ben Chilwell (£5.7m) and Reece James (£5m)/Cesar Azpilicueta (£5.9m). Only 4 teams have conceded more chances down their right flank than United, which could bode well for Chilwell this week. Stats indicate that Chelsea are still creating most of their chances down the right hand side however. United are creating roughly 43% of their chances down the left, so the game could be wide open down this flank. Kurt Zouma (£5m) is only behind Trent Alexander-Arnold for shots by defenders. He is top for shots in the box with 5, and he is joint top with Stuart Dallas of Leeds for shots on target by defenders with 4. He was rested for the West Brom game however, but I’ll keep him on the watch list for now, purely for his attacking stats.

Midfielders:

Bruno Fernandes (£10.5m) had a penalty saved against Newcastle, so the end of the world must be near. He then scored one against PSG in midweek, so normal service was resumed. He also scored a great goal against Newcastle and got an assist for Marcus Rashford (£9.5m), although that goal was all Rashford’s work. These would be the only 2 United midfielders I would consider for my FPL team right now. I’ve run the numbers below for you guys, in case any of you are considering them for your team:

As you can see, Bruno is winning. For the extra £1m and the fact he’s on penalties, you can never rule him out. With Christian Pulisic (£8.3m) and Hakim Ziyech (£7.9m) back, Chelsea looked much better going forward. Pulisic registered 2 shots in the box, but will naturally take time to get back to full speed. Kai Havertz (£8.4m) is steadily improving as well, with FPL scores of 5, 6 & 7 in his last 3 weeks. United are just outside the top 5 teams conceding the most FPL points to midfielders, and having played a game less, are averaging just under 25 points per game conceded to this position. This game gives us another chance to see how Chelsea line up at full strength, before they come up against Burnley, SHU and Newcastle in the next 3 gameweeks.

Forwards:

Timo Werner (£9.3m) finally caught fire this gameweek, typically in the week that I sold him. Classic FPL. 2 goals and an assist, the potential was always there against a Southampton side that love to play a risky high line for some reason. But the lure of Harry Kane was too much for me, so at least I wasn’t left too bereft. As mentioned above, United have conceded the most big chances since GW2 and only Newcastle West Brom and Fulham have conceded more shots on target. Werner has only had 9 shots all season, but this could now increase given his change in position. Prior to the Southampton game his average positions were more akin to a midfielder, as below:

You can see here against Crystal Palace, Werner was playing quite far back, due to his commitments on the wing. (As always, source of the image is FantasyFootballScout.co.uk)

However, against Southampton, he was playing much further forward:

Much further forward here, where I’d expect him to be from now on.

Werner has been known to score in batches, so maybe this is the start of a run for him! With Anthony Martial (£8.8m) being suspended, we likely see the debut of Edinson Cavani (£8m). Whether this is off of the bench or not we won’t know until kick off, but Rashford deputises well up top as well. Chelsea are in the top 5 teams for most FPL points conceded to forwards, so depending on who leads the line, we could see that trend continue.

Source: goal.com

Liverpool vs Sheffield United

Goalkeepers:

Adrian (£4.5m) kept a clean sheet against Ajax in midweek, but we’re not considering him for our FPL teams, are we? So not much point going into detail. I will just note that only 4 teams have had less shots on target than SHU, only 3 less teams have had less shots in the box and only 4 teams have had less shots total. Aaron Ramsdale (£4.9m) is 3rd overall with 18 saves from 26 shots on target faced (also 3rd most), conceding 7 goals. This week he faces the team that have taken the most shots (97), most shots in the box (64) and 2nd most shots on target (36). I’d be very surprised if he comes away with a clean sheet here, but may get save/bonus points.

Defenders:

After a horrendous tackle from Jordan Pickford, Liverpool have lost Virgil van Dijk (£6.4m) for the season. This, combined with Alisson being out for a few more weeks, means Liverpool defensively have taken a hit in both FPL and in actual football. The attacking threat of both Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) and Andy Robertson (£7.1m) is still there though. Robbo is outshining Trent in every metric except for shots and doesn’t look like slowing down. If I was on wildcard now I’d go Robbo, but I have Trent and won’t be selling. SHU are 8th for chances conceded down their left flank (14) but 1st down their right flank (26) so this could be another Robbo game. Even with VvD out I think a clean sheet is likely here, so hauls for both players are a real possibility. Of the SHU defenders, Enda Stevens (£5.4m) is probably my first choice if I had to bring one in. Only 3 defenders have had more shots, and only 2 defenders have had more shots on target. His creativity has been lacking this year, but coming up against TAA he might be able to get some crosses in.

Midfielders:

I don’t think we’re considering any SHU midfielders right now, so I won’t look at any here. This could be a highly profitable week for both Mo Salah (£12.3m) and Sadio Mane (£11.9m) and potentially a better week for Mane, based on the chances conceded by SHU on their right hand side. The duo of Robertson and Mane have been in sensational form so far, and could continue this further. Looking at Mane’s stats, he is 2nd for shots by midfielders on 17, 3rd for shots on target with 8 and joint 2nd for shots in the box on 13. Whilst Mane’s stats are right up there, Salah is likely to be the most popular captaincy choice and for good reason. Leading all shots metrics for midfielders, he comes up against a SHU side that have conceded the 4th most shots on target and 5th most shots this season. If Liverpool play as well as they can do, they could have a hatful.

Forwards:

Roberto Firmino (£9.3m) still isn’t producing enough to be considered for FPL unfortunately. If we’re looking at assets for our FPL team specifically, the only SHU forward I’ll mention here is Rhian Brewster (£4.5m). Whilst the next few may not be worth starting him in, if he starts scoring goals at that price point, his stock will rise sharpish!

Southampton vs Everton

Goalkeepers:

Alex McCarthy (£4.5m) conceded another 3 goals after the famous Southampton high line didn’t work. He’s now saved 10 of 18 shots on target he’s faced and could be busy again this week against high flying Everton. Only 4 teams have had more shots on target than them and with confidence sky high, they’ll think they can get 3 points here. Jordan Pickford (£5m) should have been sent off for a horror tackle on Virgil van Dijk this weekend, but was allowed to stay on after VAR didn’t even review it. From there he made a couple of crucial saves and the 6 saves he made in the derby game were only bettered in GW5 by Darlow against Man United. He was at fault for the 3rd Liverpool goal which was wrongly ruled out for offside as well, and I still don’t see him as an FPL asset.

Defenders:

Seamus Coleman (£5m) is a ruled out for this game, which could mean Ben Godfrey (£5m) gets the nod at right back. Looking at the chances conceded numbers, Southampton don’t concede that many chances on either flank or centrally, which is a surprise given how porous they’ve been. I’d still bet on Lucas Digne (£6.2m) being a focal point, but with Richarlison being suspended for a horror tackle on Thiago, there will be less creativity than usual down that left flank. Everton have conceded 14 chances on their right flank, and with Coleman out, Ryan Bertrand (£5m) could exploit that side this week. Both him and Kyle Walker-Peters (£4.5m) have made reasonable starts to their season, and with how far Digne likes to get forward, KWP could also find joy. Michael Keane (£5.1m) deserves a shoutout too – he now has 2 goals to his name and will be looking to get on the end of set pieces once more.

Midfielders:

James Rodríguez (£8m) is unlikely to play this weekend after Carlo Ancelotti informed the press he got a knock early in the Liverpool game. Despite managing to play the whole game and get an assist, he may not play this weekend. He’s probably the only Everton asset worth considering in midfield at this point. In fact with so many other midfield assets right now, I think that’s the same for Southampton. It will likely be a battlefield in the middle of the park with the likes of Allan (£5.4m) and Andre Gomes (£5.5m) so I can’t foresee many attacking returns in the middle of the park.

Forwards:

As mentioned above, Richarlison (£7.9m) is now suspended for 3 games after an awful challenge on Thiago. This leaves Everton short of firepower, but with Dominic Calvert-Lewis (£7.7m) in fantastic form, you wouldn’t bet against him getting returns. When comparing stats for Forwards, he is top for big chances and shots in the box, 2nd for shots on target and 3rd for shots overall. Southampton look pretty solid when looking purely at the stats, but we know they are susceptible to conceding chances at the back. Only West Brom have conceded more FPL points to Forwards than Southampton, so DCL might fancy his chances. Both Danny Ings (£8.5m) and Che Adams (£5.8m) had a decent week in FPL against Chelsea, with 7 & 11 points respectively. In fact they both have very similar stats and Adams is the more creative of the 2, with 2 big chances created for 2 assists. Adams only really trails Patrick Bamford at £5.8m and below, and now that he’s off the mark, we could see him start to produce more regularly.

Wolves vs Newcastle

Goalkeepers:

Rui Patricio (£5.5m) has saved 15 shots of the 22 shots on target he’s faced. Only Crystal Palace have had less shots on target than Newcastle, so Wolves will be hoping they can keep The Magpies out this week. Karl Darlow (£5m) looks set to be passed fit for this game and he’s been a key asset for Newcastle. 28 saves from 38 shots on target, and a penalty save against Man United, you’d argue if Newcastle are to keep a clean sheet here, Darlow needs to play. Newcastle have conceded the most shots, 2nd most shots in the box and most shots on target so far. Wolves haven’t been overly attacking so far, but they’ll hope they will get plenty of chances here.

Defenders:

I think most of the Wolves defenders are viable assets at the moment. Romain Saiss (£5.2m) is the top scoring defender in FPL so far, with 31 points from 5 games. 4 shots, all in the box, with 2 on target, he’s looked a real attacking threat. Recently he’s been playing at left wing back giving him licence to get forward as well, nearly getting a goal and assist against Leeds. Another player I want to mention here is Max Kilman (£4.1m). In 2 games he has 21 points, getting max bonus in both games (no pun intended). If he continues to start he could be a great enabler to free up some cash. Another one to keep an eye on is Nelson Semedo (£5.5m) depending on how much money you want to put into defence. He hasn’t quite got going yet, but Wolves are generally pretty good defensively and he’s been bought in to take up the Matt Doherty role. I currently don’t feel like Newcastle defenders are worth bringing in, so I won’t go into much detail. Only SHU have conceded more chances than Wolves down the right flank, so Jamal Lewis (£4.4m) may get some joy, but I wouldn’t be bringing him in to my team. Newcastle themselves are 5th for chances conceded down their right flank, so this could mean Saiss/whoever plays LWB gets joy too. Actually, Newcastle are 4th for chances conceded on their left flank, so Semedo could also profit. Wolves lead the league for chances created on their right flank (46.2%) so this bodes well.

Midfielders:

Both Pedro Neto (£5.5m) and Daniel Podence (£5.6m) have both looked good on the eye, both doing everything they can to stay in the team. Podence particularly looked good against Leeds, but with the shadow of Adama Traore (£6.4m) over him, the risk of rotation looms large. At the sub £5.5m price point, there are plenty of options, but at the moment I don’t think Newcastle provide any of those. This game might change my mind, so we can revisit this next week.

Forwards:

3 goals in 5 games for Raul Jiménez (£8.5m) isn’t a bad start, but his creative side has left him. 0 key passes and 0 big chances created isn’t ideal, and with Wolves only scoring 5 goals so far, Wolves need to start scoring more each week for Jiménez to warrant his price tag. I’ll likely be holding him for this week at least, based on the stats mentioned above. If Raul is going to haul, it could be this week. Only 5 strikers £8.5m and under have had more shots in the box than him, and Newcastle have conceded the 2nd most shots in the box so far. Callum Wilson (£6.5m) has 4 goals in 5 games, albeit 2 of them penalties. Coming up against a fairly reliable Wolves defence, he might find it difficult to get many chances. Newcastle have only recorded 12 shots on target in 5 games, and Wilson is responsible for 5 of these. Only Newcastle themselves and Leeds have conceded less chances in the box, and this is where Wilson does the majority of his damage.

Source: 90min.com

Arsenal vs Leicester

Goalkeepers:

Bernd Leno (£5m) has saved 14 of the 20 shots on target he’s faced, saving 4 against Man City to earn a save point. Only 6 teams have had more shots on target so Leno could be busy. It’s worth noting that Leicester are suffering from injuries and if Vardy misses another game this could impact their production. Kasper Schmeichel (£5.5m) hasn’t kept a clean sheet in his last 4 games, saving 13 of the 21 shots on target he’s faced. Only West Brom and Palace have had less shots than Arsenal, but with Leicester’s defensive injury woes, Arsenal could see some joy here.

Defenders:

Timothy Castagne (£5.8m) is joint top of all defenders with 3 assists in 5 games. He’s also joint 2nd for shots on target with 2 and has been a real asset for Leicester this year. With news that Ricardo Pereira is expected back within the next 6 weeks, James Justin (£4.8m) is set to continue his role at left back. They will come up against Kieran Tierney (£5.4m) and Hector Bellerin (£5m) this week. Only 3 teams have conceded more chances down their right flank than Leicester, probably as a result of Castagne playing so advanced. Tierney could do well here. Bellerin has 2 assists to his name as well, so both full backs could give Leicester a torrid time. Another thing to note is that Caglar Soyuncu (£5.4m) is predicted to be out for up to 3 months, so Leicester might be a little shaky at the back. Leicester have already conceded the 5th most FPL points to defenders and that might continue here.

Midfielders:

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.8m) has 1 goal, from 6 shots (4 in the box, all on target). At his price point that isn’t enough. What gives me a glimmer of hope for this game, is the defensive injuries Leicester have, combined with their issues down the right flank in terms of chance concession. Castagne will need help on that flank to avoid Auba cutting in onto his right foot. Worth noting however that Auba played through the middle against City, and he becomes more sort after if he starts to play there regularly. Bukayo Saka (£5.3m) has impressed whenever he’s played and had 2 shots on target vs City in GW5. He’s one to keep an eye on as if he starts to become nailed he’s well worth a shout at that price point. Harvey Barnes (£7m) has only had 3 shots (0 on target) over GW4 & 5 and is starting to cool off after a hot start. Ayoze Perez (£6.2m) has also had 3 shots in the last 2 games and also played 2 key passes. He rarely makes it past the 65th minute though, so he’s not in my thoughts currently.

Forwards:

With Jamie Vardy (£10m) a doubt for the game, we will potentially see Kelechi Iheanacho (£5.7m) lead the line. He had 1 shot on target and played 2 key passes against Aston Villa. I’d be surprised if anyone is considering him for FPL, but so far he has had over 1000 transfers in this week. Neither Alexandre Lacazette (£8.5m) or Eddie Nketiah (£5.7m) started the game against Man City as Arteta chose to start Auba up front. This might be the start of something more permanent so for now we will keep an eye on that situation.

Brighton vs West Brom

Goalkeepers:

Mat Ryan (£4.5m) has 9 FPL points from 5 games and has saved 5 shots from 15 shots on target faced. He isn’t having a great season so far, but a game against West Brom could provide him with a clean sheet. Brighton as a team have conceded the least shots, least shots in the box and 2nd least shots on target, yet have conceded 11 goals. West Brom have had the 2nd least shots and least shots in the box for the entire league. Sam Johnstone (£4.5m) has saved 23 shots from 35 shots on target faced for a total of 17 FPL points. A save point and 2 bonus points accompanied his first clean sheet of the season in the 0-0 draw with Burnley – which I’d have had to pay £14.95 to watch. But that’s another story. Brighton have had the 2nd most shots this season and 5th most shots in the box. Where they are lacking however, is these attempts going on target, with only 20 of 75 shots being on target. I’d still figure Johnstone has a busy day at the office though.

Defenders:

Whilst West Brom defenders are unlikely to be on anyone’s radar, a quick mention goes to Branislav Ivanovic (£4.5m) took 3 shots in the box and had 1 on target on his debut. Whilst West Brom will likely be one of the whipping boys in FPL, Ivanovic could make them a bit more resolute. Tariq Lamptey (£4.7m) is 4th for key passes of all defenders under £5m on 6, adding 3 against Crystal Palace. West Brom’s left flank has conceded less chances than the right flank however, so Solly March of Brighton’s midfielders might have more joy. West Brom have conceded 23 attempts from set plays, with only Crystal Palace and Newcastle conceding more so far this season. This could be the likes of Dan Burn (£4.4m) & Adam Webster (£4.5m) could get some joy.

Midfielders:

In respect to Brighton I think Leandro Trossard (£6m) is their best Midfield asset. 1 goal, 1 assist, 13 shots and 10 key passes so far, and he’s had 2 big chances and created 2 big chances. He could do really well here, as West Brom are 3rd for most FPL points conceded by midfielders. If you’re looking for a budget enabler to come off of the bench, I think the best £4.5m option is Yves Bissouma (£4.5m). He’s had the most shots of all £4.5m midfielders and alway impresses me with his shooting from distance. Solly March (£5m) is a slightly more expensive option, but I think he’s also an option. 8 key passes, 2 big chances and a goal, he can frequently be seen arriving at the back post, so could get the odd goal. As I mentioned last week, the only 2 midfield options you should consider from West Brom are Matheus Pereira (£6m) and Grady Diangana (£5.5m). They have by far the most goal threat and most creativity in that midfield so the chances are if West Brom are scoring goals, they are likely to be involved.

Forwards:

Karlan Grant (£6m) made his West Brom debut in the 0-0 against Burnley and will look to build on that performance against Brighton. He had a goal disallowed for offside and might find it difficult to score here. Brighton have conceded the least shots, 2nd least shots on target and least shots in the box. Neal Maupay (£6.6m) has 4 goals in 5 games (2 penalties) and is doing well in the shots metrics so far. Of forwards £7m and under, he has had the 2nd most shots, 3rd most shots in the box and joint most shots in target. West Brom have conceded the most FPL points to forwards so far this season and have conceded the 3rd most shots, 3rd most shots in the box and 2nd most shots on target. You’d back Maupay to get some returns here.

Burnley vs Spurs

Goalkeepers:

Nick Pope (£5.5m) finally delivered a haul for his owners with an 11-pointer in the 0-0 draw with West Brom. Saving all 6 shots on target, he got 2 save points and max bonus. He will likely be busy again this week when Spurs come to town. Spurs have had the most shots on target so far this season and players like Kane and Son are in scintillating form. Hugo Lloris (£5.5m) has saved 11 of the 18 shots he’s faced but is still waiting for his first clean sheet of the season. Burnley are pretty middling in the attacking metric, but after Spurs capitulated against West Ham last week, anything is possible.

Defenders:

Burnley have some defensive injury concerns going into this game. Erik Pieters (£4.4m) (injured) and Phil Beardsley (£4.5m) (illness) are out, with Ben Mee (£4.9m) still not fit enough to start. Matt Lawton (£4.4m) is set to play in Bardsley’s place, and Charlie Taylor (£4.5m) will play on the other flank. They will come up against Sergio Reguilon (£5.5m) and either Serge Aurier (£5.2m) or Matt Doherty (£5.8m). Looking at chance creation, only 4 teams have conceded more chances on their right flank than Burnley. In 2 games, Aurier has impressed, with a goal and an assist, highlighting once more that he is an attacking threat. Whilst Doherty has been relatively quiet by comparison (perhaps leading to him being dropped) whoever starts should find some joy. Worth noting however, that 42% of chances created by Spurs are on their left flank, with 24% of chances created being on the right flank. Spurs have attacking wing backs on both sides, so Burnley will have their hands full. Burnley are the highest in the league for chance creation down their left flank (44%) so Charlie Taylor should also get some opportunities. Note: Doherty has been named in Spurs Europa League team to play LASK, so Aurier could well start vs Burnley

Midfielders:

As it stands, I don’t feel like Burnley offer any assets in midfield that are worth considering. Both Dwight McNeil (£5.9m) and Ashley Westwood (£5.4m) are their attacking assets, but with the range of options available at that price point, I feel there are better options out there. Heung-Min Son (£9.4m) is in sensational form and is now in over 50% of FPL teams. 7 goals (from 9 shots on target) and 2 assists so far, he is showing no signs of slowing down. If I didn’t have to dismantle my team to get him in, he’d be on my radar this week. Gareth Bale (£9.5m) made his Spurs debut and nearly got on the scoresheet. I’m sure he will be integrated slowly, but we have seen how explosive he can be. With Son nearing his price point, it will be interesting to see if he can keep Bale at bay.

Forwards:

Ashley Barnes (£6m) is now fit and starting, getting 3 shots (all on target) against West Brom. Seeing West Ham score 3 late on against Spurs will encourage both him and Chris Wood (£6.4m) this week. With some tricky fixtures however, I wouldn’t bank on anyone getting the Burnley forwards into their side. Harry Kane (£10.8m) is the go to Forward right now. Both him and Son are playing out of their skin, and we’re seeing that Kane is dropping slightly deeper in order to provide passes to Son, showing an excellent range of passing. At the top end of the shooting and creativity metrics, he has 5 goals and 7 assists already, and he’s looking very likely to continue this trend.

Conclusion and One Week Picks

So there we have it. As always, I hope you’ve found this useful and it can aid you with any last minute decisions!

Let’s move onto the one week picks at each position:

  • Goalkeeper: Mat Ryan – Brighton have conceded the least shots, 2nd least shots on target and least shots in the box. West Brom have had the 2nd least shots and least shots in the box for the entire league
  • Defender: Andy Robertson – The duo of Robertson and Mane have been in sensational form so far, and could continue this further. SHU are 1st down their right flank (26) for chances conceded, so this could be another Robbo game.
  • Midfielder: Mo Salah – Salah is likely to be the most popular captaincy choice and for good reason. Leading all shots metrics for midfielders, he comes up against a SHU side that have conceded the 4th most shots on target and 5th most shots this season.
  • Forward: Harry Kane – As above, he’s the go to Forward right now.

Good luck all, and may your arrows be green!

@RichP_FPL

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